You are leading 100 people whose lives are in danger and you must choose between two courses of action. One would save only 90 people; the other would have a 50 percent chance of saving everyone but were it to fail, everyone would die. Which would you choose?
I’d go with door number one. I’m guaranteed to save 90 and I’m okay with that. I’d rather know I can save 90 than have a 50/50 chance of losing everyone.
Who elected me leader of these people, anyway? I didn’t ask for this! Am I attached to any of the 100? If not, then it’s really no skin off my nose if 10 of them die. We’ll draw straws to see who gets left out of the guaranteed plan.
What would you do? Save the 90 or take the chance?
*The Question of the Week can be found in The Book of Questions by Gregory Stock, Ph.D.